Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard
Pegula J. vs Swiatek I.
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Swiatek I.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 4-6
- Set 3
- 6-4
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Swiatek I. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 6-4 head-to-head lead. Pegula J. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 54% for Swiatek I.
Key facts before the match
- Swiatek I. is unbeaten in 10 matches.
- Pegula J. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Pegula J. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Swiatek I. has won 9 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 13 May 2026, when Swiatek I. won 2-0.
USA•WTA•Cincinnati•hard
Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 23:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Swiatek I.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 4-6
- Set 3
- 6-4
Model win probability
Pegula J.Swiatek I.
46%
54%
Head-to-head
5/127/12
36
12 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Pegula J.
46%
Swiatek I.
54%
low confidenceData 66%hard9 H2H used
◀ Pegula J.Why the model leansSwiatek I. ▶
Ranking
+0.21
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.16
H2H
-0.05
Model v2.3-2026-06
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
Swiatek I. Form
Swiatek I.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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