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Tennis · Washington · USA · hard

Pegula J. vs Frech M.

Thursday, 30 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Frech M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-0

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Pegula J. a 84% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 48, 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5 and a 3-0 head-to-head lead. Pegula J. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 Apr 2025, when Pegula J. won 2-0.
USA•WTA•Washington•hard
Pegula J.
Age 32 · Rank #3
VS
Age 28 · Rank #48
Frech M.
Thursday, 30 July 2026 at 22:15
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Frech M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-0
Model win probability
Pegula J.Frech M.
84%
16%
Head-to-head
3/30/3
30
3 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Pegula J.
84%
Frech M.
16%
high confidenceData 94%hard1 H2H used
◀ Pegula J.Why the model leansFrech M. ▶
Ranking
+1.16
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.08
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
07 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Jovic I.WTA #16
2-1W
03 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Bouzas Maneiro J.WTA #59
2-0W
01 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Sorribes Tormo S.WTA #214
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Vidmanova D.WTA #114
2-0W
21 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Noskova L.WTA #7
1-2L
20 Jun2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
1-2W
19 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Keys M.WTA #22
2-0W
17 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Siniakova K.WTA #36
2-0W
26 May2026
Birrell K.WTA #66 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
2-1L
Frech M. Form
Frech M.
29 Jul2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs li A.WTA #31
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Kalinskaya A.WTA #20
0-2L
22 Jun2026
Osaka N.WTA #13 vs Frech M.WTA #48
2-0L
16 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Lys E.WTA #85
0-2L
15 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Zhang S.WTA #57
0-2L
13 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Sasnovich A.WTA #136
2-1W
27 May2026
Teichmann J.WTA #163 vs Frech M.WTA #48
2-0L
24 May2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Ruse G.
1-0W
19 May2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Fernandez L.WTA #34
1-2L
18 May2026
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Gibson T.WTA #72
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
17 Apr2025
Frech M.WTA #48 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2
28 Apr2023
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #48
2-0
27 Sept2021
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #48
2-0

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