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Tennis · Toronto · Canada · hard

Pegula J. vs Frech M.

Wednesday, 05 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Frech M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-2

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Pegula J. a 79% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 45 and a 4-0 head-to-head lead. Pegula J. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Pegula J. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • They last met on 30 Jul 2026, when Pegula J. won 2-1.
Canada•WTA•Toronto•hard
Pegula J.
Pegula J.
Age 32 · Rank #3
VS
Frech M.
Age 28 · Rank #45
Frech M.
Wednesday, 05 August 2026 at 19:55
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Frech M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-2
Model win probability
Pegula J.Frech M.
79%
21%
Head-to-head
4/40/4
30
4 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Pegula J.
79%
Frech M.
21%
low confidenceData 71%hard2 H2H used
◀ Pegula J.Why the model leansFrech M. ▶
Ranking
+1.14
Surface
-0.45
Form
+0.03
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
03 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Eala A.WTA #20
1-2L
01 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Shnaider D.WTA #17
2-0W
31 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Kalinskaya A.WTA #21
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-1W
07 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Jovic I.WTA #16
2-1W
03 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Bouzas Maneiro J.WTA #63
2-0W
01 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Sorribes Tormo S.WTA #207
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Vidmanova D.WTA #92
2-0W
21 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Noskova L.WTA #7
1-2L
Frech M. Form
Frech M.
03 Aug2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Jeanjean L.WTA #119
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-1L
29 Jul2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs li A.WTA #31
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Kalinskaya A.WTA #21
0-2L
22 Jun2026
Osaka N.WTA #13 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-0L
16 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Lys E.WTA #85
0-2L
15 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Zhang S.WTA #62
0-2L
13 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Sasnovich A.WTA #141
2-1W
27 May2026
Teichmann J.WTA #166 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-0L
24 May2026
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Ruse G.
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
30 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-1
17 Apr2025
Frech M.WTA #45 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2
28 Apr2023
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-0
27 Sept2021
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #45
2-0

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