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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Pegula J. vs Fernandez L.

Friday, 04 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Fernandez L.
Set 1
1-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Pegula J. a 80% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 33, 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 6 and a 4-1 head-to-head lead. Pegula J. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 22 Mar 2026, when Pegula J. won 2-0.
USA•WTA•Us Open•hard
Pegula J.
Age 32 · Rank #3
VS
Age 23 · Rank #33
Fernandez L.
Friday, 04 September 2026 at 18:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Pegula J.2-1Fernandez L.
Set 1
1-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-3
Model win probability
Pegula J.Fernandez L.
80%
20%
Head-to-head
4/51/5
20
5 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Pegula J.
80%
Fernandez L.
20%
high confidenceData 100%hard5 H2H used
◀ Pegula J.Why the model leansFernandez L. ▶
Ranking
+1.01
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.06
H2H
+0.05
Model v2.3-2026-06
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
02 Sept2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Kenin S.WTA #110
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Ruse G.
2-0W
24 Aug2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
2-0L
22 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Swiatek I.WTA #8
2-1W
20 Aug2026
Anisimova A.WTA #10 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
1-2W
19 Aug2026
Cirstea S.WTA #17 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
1-2W
18 Aug2026
Navarro E.WTA #27 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2W
15 Aug2026
Waltert S.WTA #89 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2W
08 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Shnaider D.WTA #16
0-2L
06 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Rakhimova K.WTA #92
2-0W
Fernandez L. Form
Fernandez L.
02 Sept2026
Sawangkaew M.WTA #94 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Zhang S.WTA #54 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
0-2W
17 Aug2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Wang Xiy.
1-2L
10 Aug2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Osaka N.WTA #13
0-2L
07 Aug2026
Andreeva M.WTA #5 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
0-2W
06 Aug2026
Zarazua R.WTA #74 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
0-2W
29 Jul2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Eala A.WTA #18
0-2L
27 Jul2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Linette M.WTA #82
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Tjen J.WTA #36
0-2L
23 Jun2026
Wang Xin. vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
22 Mar2026
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2
25 Jul2025
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
1-2
17 Aug2024
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
2-1
24 Mar2024
Fernandez L.WTA #33 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
0-2
06 Jun2020
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Fernandez L.WTA #33
2-1

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