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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Paul T. vs Hurkacz H.

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Paul T.2-1Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
6-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Paul T. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 24 against No. 69 and 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Paul T. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 3 Jul 2026, when Hurkacz H. won 3-1.
USA•ATP•Cincinnati•hard
Paul T.
Age 29 · Rank #24
VS
Age 29 · Rank #69
Hurkacz H.
Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 00:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Paul T.2-1Hurkacz H.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
6-3
Model win probability
Paul T.Hurkacz H.
69%
31%
Head-to-head
3/74/7
12
7 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Paul T.
69%
Hurkacz H.
31%
low confidenceData 60%hard4 H2H used
◀ Paul T.Why the model leansHurkacz H. ▶
Ranking
+0.44
Surface
+0.72
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
08 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #12 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-0L
06 Aug2026
Royer V.ATP #78 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-2W
28 Jul2026
Majchrzak K.ATP #68 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-0L
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
3-1L
01 Jul2026
Kwon S.ATP #152 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-3W
29 Jun2026
Muller A.ATP #136 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-3W
26 Jun2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Djokovic N.ATP #5
1-2L
24 Jun2026
Fils A.ATP #21 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-2W
21 Jun2026
Cerundolo F.ATP #25 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-1L
20 Jun2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Humbert U.ATP #30
2-0W
Hurkacz H. Form
Hurkacz H.
14 Aug2026
Shimabukuro S.ATP #90 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-2W
07 Aug2026
Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #59 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
2-1L
05 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Tabilo A.ATP #29
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Giron M.ATP #83
2-1W
05 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Struff J-l.ATP #43
2-2D
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
3-1W
01 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Ofner S.ATP #127
3-0W
29 Jun2026
Ruud C.ATP #17 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-3W
25 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #16 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
2-1L
24 Jun2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
3-1
15 May2025
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-2
16 May2024
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
1-2
13 Mar2023
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
1-2
03 Nov2021
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-2
09 May2020
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
1-2
08 May2020
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
0-2

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