Tennis · Vienna · Austria · hard
Paul T. vs Darderi L.
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Paul T. a 71% chance on hard courts. Bookmakers give Paul T. about 77% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- They last met on 10 May 2026, when Darderi L. won 2-1.
Austria•ATP•Vienna•hard
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Paul T.Darderi L.
71%
29%
Paul T. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
L5d
W6d
W8d
L13d
W15d
W17d
W19d
L29d
L53d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10
W2d
L5d
W6d
W8d
L13d
W15d
W17d
W19d
L29d
L53d
Darderi L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W3d
L8d
L19d
L27d
W28d
L51d
W54d
W56d
W59d
L64d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/10
W3d
L8d
L19d
L27d
W28d
L51d
W54d
W56d
W59d
L64d
Recent form
Paul T. · all surfacesDarderi L. · all surfaces
1010
6/105/10
4/105/10
60%50%
4/103/10
3/105/10
7/105/10
4/104/10
13 / 1113 / 13
+2+0
On hard (this match's surface)
Paul T. · last 10 on hardDarderi L. · last 10 on hard
1010
6/105/10
4/105/10
60%50%
4/103/10
3/105/10
7/105/10
4/104/10
13 / 1113 / 13
+2+0
Head-to-head
2/31/3
20
3 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.4%
Paul T.
1.22▼
Implied 77%
Edge -6.1%
Darderi L.
4.10▲
Implied 23%
Edge +6.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Paul T.
71%
Darderi L.
29%
medium confidenceData 80%hard1 H2H used
◀ Paul T.Why the model leansDarderi L. ▶
Ranking
+0.21
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
Darderi L. Form
Darderi L.
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.