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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Paul T. vs Cobolli F.

Thursday, 20 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Paul T.1-2Cobolli F.
Set 1
6-2
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Paul T. a 55% chance on hard courts. Cobolli F. is the higher-ranked player (No. 10 against No. 24), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Cobolli F. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 55% for Paul T.

Key facts before the match

  • Paul T. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Cobolli F. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Paul T. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Cobolli F. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 12 Aug 2024, when Cobolli F. won 2-1.
USA•ATP•Cincinnati•hard
Paul T.
Age 29 · Rank #24
VS
Age 24 · Rank #10
Cobolli F.
Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 22:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Paul T.1-2Cobolli F.
Set 1
6-2
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
4-6
Model win probability
Paul T.Cobolli F.
55%
45%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Paul T.
55%
Cobolli F.
45%
low confidenceData 81%hard1 H2H used
◀ Paul T.Why the model leansCobolli F. ▶
Ranking
-0.37
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
19 Aug2026
Zverev A.ATP #3 vs Paul T.ATP #24
1-2W
18 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Vallejo D.
2-1W
16 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #69
2-1W
08 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #12 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-0L
06 Aug2026
Royer V.ATP #78 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-2W
28 Jul2026
Majchrzak K.ATP #68 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-0L
03 Jul2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #69 vs Paul T.ATP #24
3-1L
01 Jul2026
Kwon S.ATP #152 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-3W
29 Jun2026
Muller A.ATP #136 vs Paul T.ATP #24
0-3W
26 Jun2026
Paul T.ATP #24 vs Djokovic N.ATP #5
1-2L
Cobolli F. Form
Cobolli F.
19 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
1-2W
17 Aug2026
Blockx A.ATP #32 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
1-2W
15 Aug2026
Kecmanovic M.ATP #66 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
1-2W
05 Aug2026
Cobolli F.ATP #10 vs Hanfmann Y.ATP #55
0-2L
15 Jul2026
Cobolli F.ATP #10 vs Burruchaga R. A.ATP #61
0-2L
08 Jul2026
Cobolli F.ATP #10 vs Fery A.ATP #37
0-3L
06 Jul2026
de Minaur A.ATP #8 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
0-3W
04 Jul2026
Khachanov K.ATP #39 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
2-3W
02 Jul2026
Duckworth J.ATP #86 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
1-3W
01 Jul2026
Navone M.ATP #44 vs Cobolli F.ATP #10
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
12 Aug2024
Cobolli F.ATP #10 vs Paul T.ATP #24
2-1

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