Tennis · Wuhan · China · hard
Ostapenko J. vs Pegula J.
Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.2-1Pegula J.
- Set 1
- 2-6
- Set 2
- 7-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Pegula J. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 4 against No. 34, 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4 and a 4-2 head-to-head lead. Ostapenko J. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 72% for Pegula J.
Key facts before the match
- Recent form favours Pegula J.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Ostapenko J.
- They last met on 9 Mar 2026, when Pegula J. won 2-1.
China•WTA•Wuhan•hard
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 11:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.2-1Pegula J.
- Set 1
- 2-6
- Set 2
- 7-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Model win probability
Ostapenko J.Pegula J.
28%
72%
Head-to-head
2/64/6
11
6 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Ostapenko J.
28%
Pegula J.
72%
high confidenceData 95%hard5 H2H used
◀ Ostapenko J.Why the model leansPegula J. ▶
Ranking
-0.90
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.06
H2H
-0.02
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ostapenko J. Form
Ostapenko J.
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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