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Tennis · Beijing · China · hard

Ostapenko J. vs Mertens E.

Monday, 05 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.1-2Mertens E.
Set 1
2-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Mertens E. a 65% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 19 against No. 32 and 6 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 4. Mertens E. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 17 Oct 2019, when Ostapenko J. won 2-1.
China•WTA•Beijing•hard
Ostapenko J.
Age 29 · Rank #32
VS
Age 30 · Rank #19
Mertens E.
Monday, 05 October 2026 at 11:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.1-2Mertens E.
Set 1
2-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Ostapenko J.Mertens E.
35%
65%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Ostapenko J.
35%
Mertens E.
65%
medium confidenceData 63%hard1 H2H used
◀ Ostapenko J.Why the model leansMertens E. ▶
Ranking
-0.22
Surface
-0.08
Form
-0.13
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ostapenko J. Form
Ostapenko J.
03 Oct2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Badosa P.WTA #59
2-0W
24 Sept2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Preston T.WTA #91
0-2L
22 Sept2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Zakharova A.WTA #110
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Maria T.WTA #84 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
2-1L
15 Aug2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Frech M.WTA #48
0-2L
04 Aug2026
Zhang S.WTA #57 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-0L
03 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
2-0L
01 Jul2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Ruzic A.WTA #83
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Dart H.WTA #116
2-1W
26 Jun2026
Maria T.WTA #84 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-0L
Mertens E. Form
Mertens E.
03 Oct2026
Volynets K.WTA #74 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Mertens E.WTA #19 vs Chwalinska M.WTA #21
0-2L
23 Sept2026
Mertens E.WTA #19 vs Krejcikova B.WTA #43
06 Sept2026
Osaka N.WTA #17 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
2-1L
03 Sept2026
Timofeeva M.WTA #68 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
0-2W
01 Sept2026
Quevedo K.WTA #78 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Parry D.WTA #31 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
2-1L
29 Aug2026
Bartunkova N.WTA #34 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
1-2W
28 Aug2026
Starodubtseva Y.WTA #45 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
0-2W
27 Aug2026
Udvardy P.WTA #79 vs Mertens E.WTA #19
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
17 Oct2019
Mertens E.WTA #19 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-2

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