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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Ostapenko J. vs Frech M.

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.0-2Frech M.
Set 1
1-6
Set 2
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Frech M. a 51% chance on hard courts. Ostapenko J. is the higher-ranked player (No. 30 against No. 41), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Frech M. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 7 Jan 2025, when Ostapenko J. won 2-1.
USA•WTA•Cincinnati•hard
Ostapenko J.
Age 29 · Rank #30
VS
Age 28 · Rank #41
Frech M.
Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 21:55
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ostapenko J.0-2Frech M.
Set 1
1-6
Set 2
3-6
Model win probability
Ostapenko J.Frech M.
49%
51%
Head-to-head
2/20/2
00
2 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Ostapenko J.
49%
Frech M.
51%
high confidenceData 95%hard1 H2H used
◀ Ostapenko J.Why the model leansFrech M. ▶
Ranking
+0.13
Surface
-0.41
Form
-0.05
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ostapenko J. Form
Ostapenko J.
04 Aug2026
Zhang S.WTA #54 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #30
1-0L
03 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #30
2-0L
01 Jul2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Ruzic A.WTA #61
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Dart H.WTA #143
2-1W
26 Jun2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #30
1-0L
25 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Sonmez Z.WTA #50
2-0W
24 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Udvardy P.WTA #77
2-1W
22 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Jones F.WTA #104
2-0W
27 May2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Linette M.WTA #62
1-2L
25 May2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Seidel E.WTA #103
2-0W
Frech M. Form
Frech M.
13 Aug2026
Ruzic A.WTA #61 vs Frech M.WTA #41
0-2W
05 Aug2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #41
2-1L
03 Aug2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Jeanjean L.WTA #117
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Frech M.WTA #41
2-1L
29 Jul2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs li A.WTA #29
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Kalinskaya A.WTA #21
0-2L
22 Jun2026
Osaka N.WTA #13 vs Frech M.WTA #41
2-0L
16 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Lys E.WTA #92
0-2L
15 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Zhang S.WTA #54
0-2L
13 Jun2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Sasnovich A.WTA #138
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
07 Jan2025
Ostapenko J.WTA #30 vs Frech M.WTA #41
2-1
23 Jun2023
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #30
1-2

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