Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Noguchi R. vs Michalski D.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Noguchi R. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 233 against No. 315. Bookmakers give Noguchi R. about 52% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Noguchi R. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Michalski D.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Noguchi R.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 07:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Noguchi R.Michalski D.
54%
46%
Noguchi R. · all surfaces (latest first)
L14d
L21d
L36d
L48d
W49d
L53d
W55d
W57d
L62d
W64d
4 straight losses · carried over from Seoul, Guangzhou — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 6/10
L14d
L21d
L36d
L48d
W49d
L53d
W55d
W57d
L62d
W64d
4 straight losses · carried over from Seoul, Guangzhou — first match of this tournament
Michalski D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L8d
L30d
W31d
W32d
W33d
W34d
W45d
W46d
W46d
W48d
2 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 — first match of this tournament
On hard5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 7/9
L8d
L260d
L264d
W267d
L283d
W284d
W285d
W287d
L290d
W291d
3 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Pune — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Noguchi R. · all surfacesMichalski D. · all surfaces
1010
4/108/10
6/102/10
40%80%
3/107/10
4/101/10
6/109/10
3/102/10
10 / 1317 / 5
-3+12
On hard (this match's surface)
Noguchi R. · last 10 on hardMichalski D. · last 9 on hard
109
4/105/9
6/104/9
40%56%
3/102/9
4/102/9
6/107/9
3/105/9
10 / 1312 / 11
-3+1
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.6%
Noguchi R.
1.77▼
Implied 52%
Edge +2.0%
Michalski D.
1.92▲
Implied 48%
Edge -2.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Noguchi R.
54%
Michalski D.
46%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Noguchi R.Why the model leansMichalski D. ▶
Ranking
+0.13
Surface
+0.33
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Noguchi R. Form
Noguchi R.
Michalski D. Form
Michalski D.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.