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Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard

Nishikori K. vs Tiafoe F.

Thursday, 01 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Nishikori K.0-2Tiafoe F.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
4-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Tiafoe F. a 94% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 8 against No. 436 and 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Tiafoe F. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 23 Oct 2018, when Nishikori K. won 2-1.
Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Nishikori K.
Age 36 · Rank #436
VS
Age 28 · Rank #8
Tiafoe F.
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 08:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Nishikori K.0-2Tiafoe F.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
4-6
Model win probability
Nishikori K.Tiafoe F.
6%
94%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Nishikori K.
6%
Tiafoe F.
94%
medium confidenceData 70%hard1 H2H used
◀ Nishikori K.Why the model leansTiafoe F. ▶
Ranking
-1.68
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.54
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Nishikori K. Form
Nishikori K.
28 Aug2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
0-2L
27 Aug2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Antonius M.ATP #625
2-0W
25 Aug2026
Ofner S.ATP #117 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
1-2W
13 Aug2026
Trungelliti M.ATP #88 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
2-1L
12 Aug2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Comesana F.ATP #123
2-1W
01 Aug2026
Zheng M.ATP #92 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
2-0L
30 Jul2026
Jodar R.ATP #13 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
2-0L
28 Jul2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Shang J.ATP #250
2-1W
22 Apr2026
Kennedy J.ATP #393 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
2-1L
21 Apr2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Smith C.ATP #211
2-0W
Tiafoe F. Form
Tiafoe F.
12 Sept2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #8 vs Shelton B.ATP #4
1-3L
08 Sept2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #8 vs Michelsen A.ATP #34
3-2W
06 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-3W
05 Sept2026
Vacherot V.ATP #18 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-3W
03 Sept2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #137 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-3W
01 Sept2026
Damm M.ATP #103 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
2-3W
23 Aug2026
Fils A.ATP #9 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
2-1L
23 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Musetti L.ATP #25 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-2W
20 Aug2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #8 vs Auger-aliassime F.ATP #5
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
23 Oct2018
Tiafoe F.ATP #8 vs Nishikori K.ATP #436
1-2

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