Tennis · Porto · Portugal · hard
Nesterov P. vs Topo M.
Monday, 28 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Nesterov P.2-0Topo M.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 6-2
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Topo M. a 57% chance on hard courts. Nesterov P. is the higher-ranked player (No. 300 against No. 362), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Nesterov P. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 57% for Topo M.
Key facts before the match
- Topo M. has won 6 matches in a row.
- Nesterov P. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Topo M. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Portugal•Challenger•Porto•hard
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 13:05
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Nesterov P.2-0Topo M.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 6-2
Model win probability
Nesterov P.Topo M.
43%
57%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Nesterov P.
43%
Topo M.
57%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Nesterov P.Why the model leansTopo M. ▶
Ranking
+0.08
Surface
+0.15
Form
-0.45
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Nesterov P. Form
Nesterov P.
Topo M. Form
Topo M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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