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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Navone M. vs Carreno-Busta P.

Thursday, 08 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Navone M.1-2Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
5-7
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Carreno-Busta P. a 53% chance on hard courts. Navone M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 47 against No. 65), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Carreno-Busta P. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 28 May 2024, when Navone M. won 3-1.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Navone M.
Navone M.
Age 25 · Rank #47
VS
Carreno-Busta P.
Age 35 · Rank #65
Carreno-Busta P.
Thursday, 08 October 2026 at 09:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Navone M.1-2Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
5-7
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Navone M.Carreno-Busta P.
47%
53%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Navone M.
47%
Carreno-Busta P.
53%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Navone M.Why the model leansCarreno-Busta P. ▶
Ranking
+0.14
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.31
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Navone M. Form
Navone M.
01 Oct2026
de Minaur A.ATP #9 vs Navone M.ATP #47
2-0L
05 Sept2026
Etcheverry T. M.ATP #31 vs Navone M.ATP #47
3-0L
03 Sept2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Navone M.ATP #47
1-3W
31 Aug2026
Navone M.ATP #47 vs Djokovic N.ATP #11
3-2W
26 Aug2026
Duckworth J.ATP #64 vs Navone M.ATP #47
2-0L
15 Aug2026
Blockx A.ATP #28 vs Navone M.ATP #47
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Navone M.ATP #47 vs Collignon R.ATP #50
2-0W
06 Aug2026
Navone M.ATP #47 vs Fils A.ATP #10
0-2L
05 Aug2026
Vacherot V.ATP #14 vs Navone M.ATP #47
1-2W
03 Aug2026
Berrettini M.ATP #46 vs Navone M.ATP #47
1-2W
Carreno-Busta P. Form
Carreno-busta P.
02 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
2-0L
29 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #83 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
0-2W
28 Sept2026
Zhou Y.ATP #277 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
0-2W
30 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
3-1L
24 Aug2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #65 vs Vallejo D.
0-1L
16 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #23 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
0-2W
04 Aug2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #65 vs Royer V.ATP #105
1-2L
23 Jul2026
Van Assche L.ATP #45 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
2-1L
21 Jul2026
Gaubas V.ATP #141 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
28 May2024
Navone M.ATP #47 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
3-1

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