Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard
Napolitano S. vs McDonald M.
Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Napolitano S.0-2McDonald M.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 5-7
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Napolitano S. a 78% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 2. McDonald M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 144 against No. 229), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. McDonald M. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 78% for Napolitano S.
Key facts before the match
- Napolitano S. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- McDonald M. has lost 4 matches in a row.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 at 00:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Napolitano S.0-2McDonald M.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 5-7
Model win probability
Napolitano S.McDonald M.
78%
22%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Napolitano S.
78%
McDonald M.
22%
low confidenceData 63%hard0 H2H used
◀ Napolitano S.Why the model leansMcDonald M. ▶
Ranking
-0.19
Surface
+0.54
Form
+0.60
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Napolitano S. Form
Napolitano S.
McDonald M. Form
Mcdonald M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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