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Tennis · Champaign · USA · hard

Nakashima B. vs Sakagawa H.

Sunday, 15 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Nakashima B. a 75% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 566 against No. 1844 and 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2.

Key facts

  • Sakagawa H. has lost 5 matches in a row.
  • Recent form favours Nakashima B.: 6 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Sakagawa H.
USA•Challenger•Champaign•hard
Nakashima B.
Age 22 · Rank #566
VS
Age 25 · Rank #1844
Sakagawa H.
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Nakashima B.Sakagawa H.
75%
25%
Nakashima B. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
W10d
W11d
L19d
L45d
W46d
L58d
W59d
W61d
W62d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10
L9d
W10d
W11d
L19d
L45d
W46d
L58d
W59d
W61d
W62d
Sakagawa H. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
L10d
L109d
L116d
L129d
W130d
L143d
W143d
L361d
L718d
5 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 4 at other events (M25 Columbus, OH, M25 Harlingen, TX)
On hard2–8 · 20%· won 1+ set 3/10
L4d
L10d
L109d
L116d
L129d
W130d
L143d
W143d
L361d
L718d
5 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 4 at other events (M25 Columbus, OH, M25 Harlingen, TX)
Recent form
Nakashima B. · all surfacesSakagawa H. · all surfaces
1010
6/102/10
4/108/10
60%20%
2/102/10
3/107/10
7/103/10
5/101/10
13 / 125 / 16
+1-11
On hard (this match's surface)
Nakashima B. · last 10 on hardSakagawa H. · last 10 on hard
1010
6/102/10
4/108/10
60%20%
2/102/10
3/107/10
7/103/10
5/101/10
13 / 125 / 16
+1-11
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Nakashima B.
75%
Sakagawa H.
25%
medium confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Nakashima B.Why the model leansSakagawa H. ▶
Ranking
+0.50
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Nakashima B. Form
Nakashima B.
06 Nov2026
Nakashima B.ATP #566 vs Bigun K.ATP #523
0-2L
05 Nov2026
Nakashima B.ATP #566 vs Tokac T.ATP #1533
2-1W
04 Nov2026
Vandecasteele Q.ATP #467 vs Nakashima B.ATP #566
1-2W
27 Oct2026
Brooksby J.ATP #93 vs Nakashima B.ATP #566
2-0L
01 Oct2026
Nakashima B.ATP #566 vs Smith K.ATP #189
1-2L
30 Sept2026
Nakashima B.ATP #566 vs Kennedy J.ATP #385
2-1W
18 Sept2026
Blanch Dar. vs Nakashima B.ATP #566
2-0L
17 Sept2026
Legout T.ATP #341 vs Nakashima B.ATP #566
0-2W
15 Sept2026
Nakashima B.ATP #566 vs Ilagan A.ATP #196
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Vandecasteele Q.ATP #467 vs Nakashima B.ATP #566
0-2W
Sakagawa H. Form
Sakagawa H.
11 Nov2026
Lilov V.ATP #1444 vs Sakagawa H.ATP #1844
2-0L
05 Nov2026
Sakagawa H.ATP #1844 vs Wiskandt M.ATP #396
1-2L
29 Jul2026
Sakagawa H.ATP #1844 vs Bennani K.ATP #458
0-2L
22 Jul2026
Fahim I. M.ATP #1127 vs Sakagawa H.ATP #1844
2-0L
09 Jul2026
Sakagawa H.ATP #1844 vs Van Loben Sels E.ATP #1562
0-2L
08 Jul2026
Sakagawa H.ATP #1844 vs Santhosh R.ATP #2155
2-0W
25 Jun2026
Kim A.ATP #638 vs Sakagawa H.ATP #1844
2-0L
25 Jun2026
Santhosh R.ATP #2155 vs Sakagawa H.ATP #1844
0-2W
19 Nov2025
Sakagawa H.ATP #1844 vs Mchugh A.ATP #545
0-2L
27 Nov2024
Ejupovic E.ATP #903 vs Sakagawa H.ATP #1844
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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