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Tennis · Washington · USA · hard

Nakashima B. vs Mensik J.

Thursday, 30 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Nakashima B.2-1Mensik J.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Mensik J. a 56% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 17 against No. 33 and a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Nakashima B. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 56% for Mensik J.

Key facts before the match

  • Nakashima B. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 10 Jan 2024, when Mensik J. won 2-0.
USA•ATP•Washington•hard
Nakashima B.
Nakashima B.
Age 24 · Rank #33
VS
Mensik J.
Age 20 · Rank #17
Mensik J.
Thursday, 30 July 2026 at 18:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Nakashima B.2-1Mensik J.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Nakashima B.Mensik J.
44%
56%
Head-to-head
0/22/2
02
2 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Nakashima B.
44%
Mensik J.
56%
high confidenceData 100%hard2 H2H used
◀ Nakashima B.Why the model leansMensik J. ▶
Ranking
-0.28
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Nakashima B. Form
Nakashima B.
28 Jul2026
Nakashima B.ATP #33 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #31
2-0W
18 Jul2026
Miguel L. A.ATP #834 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
0-3W
18 Jul2026
Kyrgios N.ATP #914 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
1-3W
18 Jul2026
Miguel L. A.ATP #834 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
3-2L
17 Jul2026
Cerundolo F.ATP #20 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
1-3W
02 Jul2026
Nakashima B.ATP #33 vs Struff J-l.ATP #42
2-3L
30 Jun2026
Nakashima B.ATP #33 vs Pinnington Jones J.ATP #172
3-0W
20 Jun2026
Nakashima B.ATP #33 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #20
1-2L
19 Jun2026
de Minaur A.ATP #6 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
0-2W
17 Jun2026
Nakashima B.ATP #33 vs Buse I.ATP #34
2-0W
Mensik J. Form
Mensik J.
29 Jul2026
Svajda T.ATP #436 vs Mensik J.ATP #17
1-2W
02 Jul2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Dimitrov G.ATP #140
1-3L
30 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Samuel T.ATP #112
3-2W
25 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Hurkacz H.ATP #71
2-1W
23 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Fils A.ATP #22
1-2L
16 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Mannarino A.ATP #47
1-2L
05 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Zverev A.ATP #2
1-3L
02 Jun2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Fonseca J.ATP #27
3-0W
31 May2026
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Rublev A.ATP #14
3-2W
29 May2026
de Minaur A.ATP #6 vs Mensik J.ATP #17
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
10 Jan2024
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
2-0
05 Jan2024
Mensik J.ATP #17 vs Nakashima B.ATP #33
2-0

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