Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Nakagawa S. vs Jorda Sanchis D.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Jorda Sanchis D. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 195 against No. 1346. Bookmakers give Jorda Sanchis D. about 78% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 04:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Nakagawa S.Jorda Sanchis D.
26%
74%
Nakagawa S. · all surfaces (latest first)
L70d
L105d
W106d
W107d
L145d
W146d
L160d
L211d
W212d
L226d
2 straight losses · carried over from M25 Urayasu, Samsun — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 4/10
L70d
L105d
W106d
W107d
L145d
W146d
L160d
L211d
W212d
L226d
2 straight losses · carried over from M25 Urayasu, Samsun — first match of this tournament
Jorda Sanchis D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L34d
L38d
W39d
W40d
W42d
L48d
W49d
L57d
L69d
L76d
2 straight losses · carried over from Villena, Porto — first match of this tournament
On hard3–6 · 33%· won 1+ set 4/9
L34d
L38d
W39d
W40d
W42d
L48d
W49d
L57d
L69d
L76d
2 straight losses · carried over from Villena, Porto — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Nakagawa S. · all surfacesJorda Sanchis D. · all surfaces
109
4/103/9
6/106/9
40%33%
3/103/9
6/105/9
4/104/9
1/101/9
8 / 137 / 12
-5-5
Limited sample — Jorda Sanchis D. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Nakagawa S. · last 10 on hardJorda Sanchis D. · last 9 on hard
109
4/103/9
6/106/9
40%33%
3/103/9
6/105/9
4/104/9
1/101/9
8 / 137 / 12
-5-5
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.4%
Nakagawa S.
4.10▲
Implied 22%
Edge +3.5%
Jorda Sanchis D.
1.19▼
Implied 78%
Edge -3.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Nakagawa S.
26%
Jorda Sanchis D.
74%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Nakagawa S.Why the model leansJorda Sanchis D. ▶
Ranking
-0.81
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.05
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Nakagawa S. Form
Nakagawa S.
Jorda Sanchis D. Form
Jorda Sanchis D.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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