Tennis · Montreal · Canada · hard

Ugo Carabelli C. vs Norrie C.

Tuesday, 04 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.0-2Norrie C.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
4-6

Ugo Carabelli C. vs Norrie C. in Montreal (Tennis) was played on Tuesday, 04 August 2026. Final score: Ugo Carabelli C. 0-2 Norrie C.. Pre-match model prediction: Ugo Carabelli C. 20% vs Norrie C. 80%. See recent form, hard-court stats. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

Canada•ATP•Montreal•hard
Ugo Carabelli C.
Ugo Carabelli C.
Age 27 · Rank #76
VS
Norrie C.
Age 30 · Rank #37
Norrie C.
Tuesday, 04 August 2026 at 05:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.0-2Norrie C.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
4-6
Model win probability
Ugo Carabelli C.Norrie C.
20%
80%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Ugo Carabelli C.
20%
Norrie C.
80%
high confidenceData 97%hard0 H2H used
◀ Ugo Carabelli C.Why the model leansNorrie C. ▶
Ranking
-0.30
Surface
-0.45
Form
-0.48
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Open Flashscore
Ugo Carabelli C. Form
Ugo Carabelli c.
20 Jul
Droguet t.ATP #119 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
2-1L
16 Jul
Burruchaga r. a.ATP #56 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
2-1L
15 Jul
Carreno-busta p.ATP #68 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
1-2W
14 Jul
Topo m.ATP #346 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
1-2W
29 Jun
Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76 vs Merida Aguilar d.ATP #63
2-1W
25 Jun
Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76 vs Bellucci m.ATP #80
1-2L
27 May
Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76 vs Rublev a.ATP #16
1-3L
25 May
Nava e.ATP #106 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
0-3W
21 May
Kovacevic a.ATP #95 vs Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76
2-1L
20 May
Ugo Carabelli c.ATP #76 vs Tiafoe f.ATP #20
2-0W
Norrie C. Form
Norrie c.
01 Aug
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Shapovalov d.ATP #43
1-2L
31 Jul
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Tomic b.ATP #160
2-0W
30 Jul
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Duckworth j.ATP #86
2-0W
28 Jul
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Kovacevic a.ATP #95
2-0W
18 Jul
Griekspoor t.ATP #69 vs Norrie c.ATP #37
2-3W
18 Jul
Cerundolo f.ATP #23 vs Norrie c.ATP #37
3-0L
17 Jul
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Moutet c.ATP #59
3-1W
29 Jun
Zheng m.ATP #113 vs Norrie c.ATP #37
3-2L
25 Jun
Norrie c.ATP #37 vs Lehecka j.ATP #12
0-2L
24 Jun
Sinner j.ATP #1 vs Norrie c.ATP #37
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Full Match Object
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  "country": "Canada",
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  "category": "Atp Singles",
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  "date": "2026-08-04",
  "time": "05:00",
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        "away_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron"
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  },
  "hard": {
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        "away_player_id": "SYklCTPO",
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      },
      {
        "date": "19.03.26",
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "KWdgY7Bq",
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      },
      {
        "date": "07.03.26",
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        "home_player_id": "ETGnbrpH",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/nakashima-brandon/ETGnbrpH/",
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        "away_player_id": "KWdgY7Bq",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/ugo-carabelli-camilo/KWdgY7Bq/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "ugo-carabelli-camilo"
      },
      {
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "vX7WOXtP",
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        "away_ranking_slug": "damm-martin-2003"
      },
      {
        "date": "18.01.26",
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        "event": "Australian Open (Australia), hard",
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        "away": "Fucsovics M.",
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        "home_rank": 76,
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "GhQFzFli",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/fucsovics-marton/GhQFzFli/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "fucsovics-marton"
      },
      {
        "date": "13.01.26",
        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Auckland (New Zealand), hard",
        "home": "Tabilo A.",
        "away": "Ugo Carabelli C.",
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "KWdgY7Bq",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/ugo-carabelli-camilo/KWdgY7Bq/",
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      },
      {
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        "away_ranking_slug": "tien-learner"
      },
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        "home_player_id": "AXL5qpKa",
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        "away_player_id": "KWdgY7Bq",
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        "home_ranking_slug": "ugo-carabelli-camilo",
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "CfH4SF3G",
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    "player_2_last": [
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        "home": "Norrie C.",
        "away": "Shapovalov D.",
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        "home_rank": 37,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
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        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "zXddgn9o",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/shapovalov-denis/zXddgn9o/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "shapovalov-denis"
      },
      {
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        "home": "Norrie C.",
        "away": "Tomic B.",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_rank": 37,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
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        "away_rank": 160,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "fVQY2TUC",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/tomic-bernard/fVQY2TUC/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "tomic-bernard"
      },
      {
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        "surface": "hard",
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        "home": "Norrie C.",
        "away": "Duckworth J.",
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        "home_rank": 37,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "home_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron",
        "away_rank": 86,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "2JWHPUUb",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/duckworth-james/2JWHPUUb/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "duckworth-james"
      },
      {
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        "away_rank": 95,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "AudsF90U",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/kovacevic-aleksandar/AudsF90U/",
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      },
      {
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        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Miami (USA), hard",
        "home": "Michelsen A.",
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        "home_player_id": "nDIhfm9l",
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        "away_rank": 37,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron"
      },
      {
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        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Indian Wells (USA), hard",
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        "home_rank": 2,
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        "home_player_id": "UkhgIFEq",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/alcaraz-garfia-carlos/UkhgIFEq/",
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        "away_rank": 37,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.03.26",
        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Indian Wells (USA), hard",
        "home": "Hijikata R.",
        "away": "Norrie C.",
        "score": "0-2",
        "home_rank": 93,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "f9eT4NTQ",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/hijikata-rinky/f9eT4NTQ/",
        "home_ranking_slug": "hijikata-rinky",
        "away_rank": 37,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.03.26",
        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Indian Wells (USA), hard",
        "home": "Norrie C.",
        "away": "De Minaur A.",
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        "home_rank": 37,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "home_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron",
        "away_rank": 7,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "EZgZ9Xfh",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/de-minaur-alex/EZgZ9Xfh/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "de-minaur-alex"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.03.26",
        "surface": "hard",
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        "home": "Norrie C.",
        "away": "McDonald M.",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_rank": 37,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "home_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron",
        "away_rank": 144,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "WWi3O0v6",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/mcdonald-mackenzie/WWi3O0v6/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "mcdonald-mackenzie"
      },
      {
        "date": "24.02.26",
        "surface": "hard",
        "event": "Acapulco (Mexico), hard",
        "home": "Jodar R.",
        "away": "Norrie C.",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_rank": 15,
        "home_tour": "ATP",
        "home_player_id": "OdngshVK",
        "home_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/jodar-rafael/OdngshVK/",
        "home_ranking_slug": "jodar-rafael",
        "away_rank": 37,
        "away_tour": "ATP",
        "away_player_id": "pvzhJGY8",
        "away_profile_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/player/norrie-cameron/pvzhJGY8/",
        "away_ranking_slug": "norrie-cameron"
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    ]
  }
}
Model
{
  "surface_used": "hard",
  "win_probability": {
    "player_1": 20,
    "player_2": 80
  },
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "data_confidence_pct": 97,
  "h2h_meetings_used": 0,
  "model_only_p1_pct": 18,
  "blend_weight_model": 0.39,
  "confidence_breakdown": {
    "sample_conf_pct": 100,
    "recency_factor": 0.97,
    "surface_form_age_days": 136,
    "odds_present": true,
    "market_implied_p1_pct": 21,
    "model_vs_market_div_pct": 3,
    "market_factor": 1,
    "rank_form_divergence": false
  },
  "strength": {
    "rank_score": -0.3023,
    "rank_trust": 1,
    "surface_score": -0.45,
    "form_score": -0.255,
    "dominance_score": -0.48,
    "h2h_score": 0,
    "total_logit": -1.4873
  },
  "model_version": "v2.3-2026-06"
}
Odds
Live Data Snapshot
{
  "total": 1,
  "sample": {
    "match": "Ugo Carabelli C. vs Norrie C.",
    "player_1": "Ugo Carabelli C.",
    "player_2": "Norrie C.",
    "surface": "hard",
    "h2h_rows": 0
  }
}
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