Tennis · Champaign · USA · hard
Mroz W. vs Mitsui S.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Mitsui S. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 647 against No. 1606. Bookmakers give Mitsui S. about 77% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Mroz W. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Mitsui S. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
USA•Challenger•Champaign•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Mroz W.Mitsui S.
31%
69%
Mroz W. · all surfaces (latest first)
L114d
W115d
W116d
D480d
L724d
W725d
L732d
L774d
L837d
L843d
On hard3–6 · 33%· won 1+ set 5/9
L114d
W115d
W116d
D480d
L724d
W725d
L732d
L774d
L837d
L843d
Mitsui S. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
L13d
W14d
L27d
L31d
W32d
L48d
W49d
L56d
L72d
2 straight losses · carried over from Knoxville, Charlottesville — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 3/10
L6d
L13d
W14d
L27d
L31d
W32d
L48d
W49d
L56d
L72d
2 straight losses · carried over from Knoxville, Charlottesville — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Mroz W. · all surfacesMitsui S. · all surfaces
910
3/93/10
6/97/10
33%30%
2/93/10
4/97/10
5/93/10
3/90/10
8 / 136 / 14
-5-8
Limited sample — Mroz W. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Mroz W. · last 9 on hardMitsui S. · last 10 on hard
910
3/93/10
6/97/10
33%30%
2/93/10
4/97/10
5/93/10
3/90/10
8 / 136 / 14
-5-8
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Mroz W.
4.00▼
Implied 23%
Edge +8.1%
Mitsui S.
1.19▲
Implied 77%
Edge -8.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Mroz W.
31%
Mitsui S.
69%
low confidenceData 56%hard0 H2H used
◀ Mroz W.Why the model leansMitsui S. ▶
Ranking
-0.38
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.11
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Mroz W. Form
Mroz W.
Mitsui S. Form
Mitsui S.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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