Tennis · Lyon · France · hard
Moutet C. vs Paul T.
Friday, 23 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Moutet C.1-2Paul T.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 6-3
- Set 3
- 3-6
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Paul T. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 15 against No. 94, 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5 and a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Paul T. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Recent form favours Paul T.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Moutet C.
- They last met on 18 Feb 2026, when Paul T. won 2-1.
France•ATP•Lyon•hard
Friday, 23 October 2026 at 15:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Moutet C.1-2Paul T.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 6-3
- Set 3
- 3-6
Model win probability
Moutet C.Paul T.
28%
72%
Head-to-head
0/22/2
01
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Moutet C.
28%
Paul T.
72%
high confidenceData 100%hard1 H2H used
◀ Moutet C.Why the model leansPaul T. ▶
Ranking
-0.77
Surface
+0.30
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Moutet C. Form
Moutet C.
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
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