Tennis · Metz · France · hard
Moroni F. vs Coulibaly E.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Coulibaly E. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 342 against No. 1025 and 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Bookmakers give Coulibaly E. about 72% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
France•Challenger•Metz•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Moroni F.Coulibaly E.
26%
74%
Moroni F. · all surfaces (latest first)
L40d
W41d
W42d
L48d
W49d
L64d
W65d
W66d
W68d
L88d
On hard4–4 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/8
L64d
W65d
W66d
W68d
L93d
W94d
W95d
L137d
L144d
L152d
Coulibaly E. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
W5d
W21d
W22d
W23d
W24d
W25d
L31d
W32d
W35d
On hard8–1 · 89%· won 1+ set 8/9
L4d
W5d
W21d
W22d
W23d
W24d
W25d
L31d
W32d
W35d
Recent form
Moroni F. · all surfacesCoulibaly E. · all surfaces
109
6/108/9
4/101/9
60%89%
1/107/9
2/101/9
8/108/9
7/101/9
14 / 1316 / 3
+1+13
Limited sample — Coulibaly E. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Moroni F. · last 8 on hardCoulibaly E. · last 9 on hard
89
4/88/9
4/81/9
50%89%
2/87/9
3/81/9
5/88/9
3/81/9
9 / 1016 / 3
-1+13
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.4%
Moroni F.
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -1.9%
Coulibaly E.
1.28▲
Implied 72%
Edge +1.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Moroni F.
26%
Coulibaly E.
74%
high confidenceData 85%hard0 H2H used
◀ Moroni F.Why the model leansCoulibaly E. ▶
Ranking
-0.46
Surface
-0.12
Form
-0.47
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Moroni F. Form
Moroni F.
Coulibaly E. Form
Coulibaly E.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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