Moro Canas A. vs Lagutin P.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Lagutin P. a 51% chance on clay. That rests on 9 wins from the last 10 matches on clay to 5. Moro Canas A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 240 against No. 432), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Moro Canas A. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 51% for Lagutin P.

Key facts before the match

• Lagutin P. has won 3 matches in a row.
• Recent form favours Lagutin P.: 9 wins from the last 10 matches, against 5 for Moro Canas A.