Tennis · Brisbane 3 · Australia · hard
Moriya H. vs Bolt A.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Bolt A. a 67% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 171 against No. 450 and a 6-2 head-to-head lead. Bookmakers give Bolt A. about 72% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when Bolt A. won 2-1.
Australia•Challenger•Brisbane 3•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 09:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Moriya H.Bolt A.
33%
67%
Moriya H. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
L23d
L34d
W35d
L42d
2-match win streak · all at Brisbane 3 — built in this tournament
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10
W1d
W2d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
L23d
L34d
W35d
L42d
2-match win streak · all at Brisbane 3 — built in this tournament
Bolt A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L36d
D38d
W39d
W40d
W42d
L47d
W48d
W49d
L77d
L98d
On hard5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 5/9
L36d
D38d
W39d
W40d
W42d
L47d
W48d
W49d
L77d
L98d
Recent form
Moriya H. · all surfacesBolt A. · all surfaces
109
6/105/9
4/104/9
60%56%
4/103/9
3/104/9
7/105/9
3/102/9
13 / 1010 / 10
+3+0
Limited sample — Bolt A. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Moriya H. · last 10 on hardBolt A. · last 9 on hard
109
6/105/9
4/104/9
60%56%
4/103/9
3/104/9
7/105/9
3/102/9
13 / 1010 / 10
+3+0
Head-to-head
2/86/8
13
8 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.4%
Moriya H.
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge +5.1%
Bolt A.
1.28▲
Implied 72%
Edge -5.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Moriya H.
33%
Bolt A.
67%
low confidenceData 83%hard7 H2H used
◀ Moriya H.Why the model leansBolt A. ▶
Ranking
-0.41
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.13
H2H
-0.11
Model v2.3-2026-06
Moriya H. Form
Moriya H.
Bolt A. Form
Bolt A.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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