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Tennis · Jinan · China · hard

Mochizuki S. vs Watanuki Y.

Friday, 16 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mochizuki S.2-1Watanuki Y.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
7-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Watanuki Y. a 52% chance on hard courts. Mochizuki S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 123 against No. 406), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Mochizuki S. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 52% for Watanuki Y.

Key facts before the match

  • Watanuki Y. has won 4 matches in a row.
China•Challenger•Jinan•hard
Mochizuki S.
Age 23 · Rank #123
VS
Age 28 · Rank #406
Watanuki Y.
Friday, 16 October 2026 at 07:05
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mochizuki S.2-1Watanuki Y.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
7-6
Model win probability
Mochizuki S.Watanuki Y.
48%
52%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Mochizuki S.
48%
Watanuki Y.
52%
low confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Mochizuki S.Why the model leansWatanuki Y. ▶
Ranking
+0.50
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Mochizuki S. Form
Mochizuki S.
15 Oct2026
Mochizuki S.ATP #123 vs Sweeny D.ATP #112
2-0W
13 Oct2026
Diaz Acosta F.ATP #69 vs Mochizuki S.ATP #123
0-2W
06 Oct2026
Safiullin R.ATP #79 vs Mochizuki S.ATP #123
2-0L
05 Oct2026
Daniel T.ATP #177 vs Mochizuki S.ATP #123
1-2W
28 Sept2026
Mochizuki S.ATP #123 vs Faria J.ATP #60
0-2L
24 Sept2026
Damm M.ATP #104 vs Mochizuki S.ATP #123
2-0L
23 Sept2026
Mochizuki S.ATP #123 vs Kotov P.ATP #187
2-0W
22 Sept2026
Mochizuki S.ATP #123 vs Xiao L.ATP #1007
2-1W
15 Sept2026
Mochizuki S.ATP #123 vs Kotov P.ATP #187
0-2L
01 Sept2026
Mensik J.ATP #15 vs Mochizuki S.ATP #123
3-0L
Watanuki Y. Form
Watanuki Y.
15 Oct2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Cilic M.ATP #80
2-0W
14 Oct2026
Ilagan A.ATP #194 vs Watanuki Y.ATP #406
0-2W
13 Oct2026
Uesugi K.ATP #1521 vs Watanuki Y.ATP #406
0-2W
11 Oct2026
Pankin S.ATP #432 vs Watanuki Y.ATP #406
0-2W
07 Sept2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Sharipov M.ATP #234
1-2L
02 Sept2026
Tseng C. H.ATP #225 vs Watanuki Y.ATP #406
2-0L
31 Aug2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Pankin S.ATP #432
2-0W
29 Jul2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2L
23 Jul2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Samuel T.ATP #100
0-2L
21 Jul2026
Watanuki Y.ATP #406 vs Ilagan A.ATP #194
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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