Mochizuki S. vs Kotov P.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Kotov P. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Mochizuki S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 125 against No. 188), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Mochizuki S. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 62% for Kotov P.

Key facts before the match

• Recent form favours Kotov P.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Mochizuki S.
• They last met on 15 Sept 2026, when Kotov P. won 2-0.