Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard
Mochizuki S. vs Giustino L.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Mochizuki S. a 61% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 128 against No. 289. Bookmakers give Mochizuki S. about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Mochizuki S. has lost 4 matches in a row.
Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Mochizuki S.Giustino L.
61%
39%
Mochizuki S. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L12d
L20d
L29d
W30d
W31d
W33d
L40d
W41d
L48d
4 straight losses · carried over from Orleans, Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 6/10
L5d
L12d
L20d
L29d
W30d
W31d
W33d
L40d
W41d
L48d
4 straight losses · carried over from Orleans, Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament
Giustino L. · all surfaces (latest first)
L2d
W3d
W5d
L12d
L25d
L30d
W32d
W33d
L38d
W40d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10
L2d
W3d
W5d
L12d
L82d
L247d
W249d
W251d
L254d
W255d
Recent form
Mochizuki S. · all surfacesGiustino L. · all surfaces
1010
4/105/10
6/105/10
40%50%
2/104/10
4/101/10
6/109/10
4/105/10
10 / 1414 / 11
-4+3
On hard (this match's surface)
Mochizuki S. · last 10 on hardGiustino L. · last 10 on hard
1010
4/105/10
6/105/10
40%50%
2/102/10
4/103/10
6/107/10
4/105/10
10 / 1412 / 13
-4-1
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.9%
Mochizuki S.
1.42
Implied 65%
Edge -3.7%
Giustino L.
2.60
Implied 35%
Edge +3.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Mochizuki S.
61%
Giustino L.
39%
high confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Mochizuki S.Why the model leansGiustino L. ▶
Ranking
+0.34
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Mochizuki S. Form
Mochizuki S.
Giustino L. Form
Giustino L.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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