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Match Intelligence

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Tennis · Stockholm · Sweden · hard

Michelsen A. vs Cerundolo J. M.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Match preview

The model gives Michelsen A. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 35 against No. 54. Bookmakers give Michelsen A. about 72% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Key facts

They last met on 25 May 2025, when Cerundolo J. M. won 3-0.

Sweden•ATP•Stockholm•hard

Michelsen A.

Age 22 · Rank #35

Cerundolo J. M.

Age 24 · Rank #54

Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 15:00

Model win probability

Michelsen A.Cerundolo J. M.

63%

37%

Michelsen A. · all surfaces (latest first)

W1d

L6d

W7d

L12d

W14d

L18d

W19d

W22d

L31d

L40d

On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10

W1d

L6d

W7d

L12d

W14d

L18d

W19d

W22d

L31d

L40d

Cerundolo J. M. · all surfaces (latest first)

W2d

L8d

W9d

W10d

L15d

W16d

W17d

L21d

L31d

W33d

On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10

W2d

L8d

W9d

W10d

L15d

W16d

W17d

L21d

L31d

W33d

Recent form

Michelsen A. · all surfacesCerundolo J. M. · all surfaces

1010

5/106/10

5/104/10

50%60%

3/105/10

3/103/10

7/107/10

4/102/10

12 / 1213 / 9

+0+4

On hard (this match's surface)

Michelsen A. · last 10 on hardCerundolo J. M. · last 10 on hard

1010

5/106/10

5/104/10

50%60%

3/105/10

3/103/10

7/107/10

4/102/10

12 / 1213 / 9

+0+4

Head-to-head

0/11/1

1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set

Market Odds

Vig 7.2%

Michelsen A.

1.30▼

Implied 72%

Edge -8.7%

Cerundolo J. M.

3.30▲

Implied 28%

Edge +8.7%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.

Model Prediction

Michelsen A.

63%

Cerundolo J. M.

37%

low confidenceData 54%hard0 H2H used

◀ Michelsen A.Why the model leansCerundolo J. M. ▶

Ranking

+0.18

Surface

0.00

Form

-0.12

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Michelsen A. Form

Michelsen A.

09 Nov2026

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Hanfmann Y.ATP #67

2-0W

04 Nov2026

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3

0-2L

03 Nov2026

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Lehecka J.ATP #15

2-1W

29 Oct2026

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Fils A.ATP #7

1-2L

27 Oct2026

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #40

2-1W

23 Oct2026

Fils A.ATP #7 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35

2-0L

22 Oct2026

Goffin D.ATP #686 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35

0-2W

19 Oct2026

Guerrieri A.ATP #160 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35

0-2W

10 Oct2026

Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #40 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35

2-0L

01 Oct2026

Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35

2-1L

Cerundolo J. M. Form

Cerundolo J. M.

08 Nov2026

Ymer E.ATP #254 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

0-2W

02 Nov2026

Ruud C.ATP #18 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

2-0L

01 Nov2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

2-1W

31 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Kovacevic A.ATP #83

2-0W

26 Oct2026

Altmaier D.ATP #73 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

2-1L

25 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Altmaier D.ATP #73

2-0W

24 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Svajda Z.ATP #78

2-0W

20 Oct2026

Navone M.ATP #48 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

2-0L

10 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3

0-2L

08 Oct2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Mejia N.ATP #114

2-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

25 May2025

Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

0-3

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