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Tennis · Paris · France · hard

Michelsen A. vs Alcaraz C.

Wednesday, 04 November 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Michelsen A.0-2Alcaraz C.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Alcaraz C. a 83% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 35 and 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Alcaraz C. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Alcaraz C. has won 5 matches in a row.
  • Recent form favours Alcaraz C.: 9 wins from the last 10 matches, against 5 for Michelsen A.
  • They last met on 1 Oct 2026, when Alcaraz C. won 2-1.
France•ATP•Paris•hard
Michelsen A.
Age 22 · Rank #35
VS
Age 23 · Rank #3
Alcaraz C.
Wednesday, 04 November 2026 at 21:15
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Michelsen A.0-2Alcaraz C.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
3-6
Model win probability
Michelsen A.Alcaraz C.
17%
83%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Michelsen A.
17%
Alcaraz C.
83%
high confidenceData 95%hard1 H2H used
◀ Michelsen A.Why the model leansAlcaraz C. ▶
Ranking
-1.03
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.34
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Michelsen A. Form
Michelsen A.
03 Nov2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Lehecka J.ATP #15
2-1W
29 Oct2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Fils A.ATP #7
1-2L
27 Oct2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #37
2-1W
23 Oct2026
Fils A.ATP #7 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-0L
22 Oct2026
Goffin D.ATP #686 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
0-2W
19 Oct2026
Guerrieri A.ATP #166 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #37 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-0L
01 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-1L
08 Sept2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #8 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
3-2L
06 Sept2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #31
3-0W
Alcaraz C. Form
Alcaraz C.
01 Nov2026
de Minaur A.ATP #9 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
31 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
30 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #14 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
29 Oct2026
Basilashvili N.ATP #87 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
27 Oct2026
Khachanov K.ATP #25 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
12 Oct2026
Bergs Z.ATP #40 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
06 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #15
2-0W
05 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Munar J.ATP #65
2-1W
04 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #51
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
01 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-1

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