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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Merida Aguilar D. vs Rublev A.

Wednesday, 02 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Merida Aguilar D.3-1Rublev A.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
6-4
Set 4
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Rublev A. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 24 against No. 39. Merida Aguilar D. won 3-1 in sets, against the model's 54% for Rublev A.

Key facts before the match

  • Merida Aguilar D. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Merida Aguilar D.
Age 21 · Rank #39
VS
Age 28 · Rank #24
Rublev A.
Wednesday, 02 September 2026 at 18:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Merida Aguilar D.3-1Rublev A.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
6-2
Set 3
6-4
Set 4
6-4
Model win probability
Merida Aguilar D.Rublev A.
46%
54%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Merida Aguilar D.
46%
Rublev A.
54%
low confidenceData 61%hard0 H2H used
◀ Merida Aguilar D.Why the model leansRublev A. ▶
Ranking
-0.20
Surface
+0.30
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Merida Aguilar D. Form
Merida Aguilar D.
30 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Fucsovics M.ATP #122
3-0W
18 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #10 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39
2-0L
16 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Bergs Z.ATP #37
2-0W
15 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Cilic M.ATP #81
2-1W
12 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Tien L.ATP #15
0-2L
09 Aug2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #56 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39
0-2W
07 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
2-1W
06 Aug2026
Humbert U.ATP #31 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39
0-2W
04 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Draxl L.ATP #218
2-1W
21 Jul2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Jacquet K.ATP #108
1-2L
Rublev A. Form
Rublev A.
31 Aug2026
Virtanen O.ATP #109 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-3W
18 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Borges N.ATP #41
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #66
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Shang J.ATP #228 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-1L
24 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Van Assche L.ATP #40
1-2L
23 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Skatov T.ATP #205
2-0W
19 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Darderi L.ATP #22
2-0W
18 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Tabilo A.ATP #28
2-1W
17 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Baez S.ATP #51
2-0W
16 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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