Mejia N. vs Draxl L.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Draxl L. a 66% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Mejia N. is the higher-ranked player (No. 115 against No. 217), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Draxl L. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Draxl L. has lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 27 Apr 2025, when Mejia N. won 2-1.