Tennis · Finals Turin · World · hard
Medvedev D. vs Tiafoe F.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Medvedev D. a 61% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5 and a 6-3 head-to-head lead.
Key facts
- Tiafoe F. has lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 6 Sept 2026, when Tiafoe F. won 3-0.
World•ATP•Finals Turin•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 16:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Tiafoe F.
61%
39%
Medvedev D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Tiafoe F. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
L16d
L33d
W35d
L42d
W43d
L62d
W66d
W68d
W69d
3 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 8/10
L9d
L16d
L33d
W35d
L42d
W43d
L62d
W66d
W68d
W69d
3 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Medvedev D. · all surfacesTiafoe F. · all surfaces
910
6/95/10
3/95/10
67%50%
4/94/10
3/92/10
6/98/10
2/96/10
12 / 816 / 13
+4+3
Limited sample — Medvedev D. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Medvedev D. · last 9 on hardTiafoe F. · last 10 on hard
910
6/95/10
3/95/10
67%50%
4/94/10
3/92/10
6/98/10
2/96/10
12 / 816 / 13
+4+3
Head-to-head
6/93/9
52
9 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
61%
Tiafoe F.
39%
medium confidenceData 66%hard8 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansTiafoe F. ▶
Ranking
+0.20
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.05
H2H
+0.17
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
Tiafoe F. Form
Tiafoe F.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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