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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Medvedev D. vs Tiafoe F.

Sunday, 06 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.0-3Tiafoe F.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
6-7

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Medvedev D. a 51% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 6-2 head-to-head lead. Tiafoe F. won 3-0 in sets, against the model's 51% for Medvedev D.

Key facts before the match

  • Tiafoe F. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Medvedev D. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Tiafoe F. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 7 Jan 2026, when Medvedev D. won 2-0.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Medvedev D.
Age 30 · Rank #8
VS
Age 28 · Rank #12
Tiafoe F.
Sunday, 06 September 2026 at 22:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.0-3Tiafoe F.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
6-7
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Tiafoe F.
51%
49%
Head-to-head
6/82/8
51
8 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
51%
Tiafoe F.
49%
low confidenceData 62%hard7 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansTiafoe F. ▶
Ranking
+0.17
Surface
-0.15
Form
-0.34
H2H
+0.18
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
04 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #29
3-0W
02 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Gorzny S.ATP #731
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Gaston H.ATP #91
3-0W
26 Aug2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Damm M.ATP #90
0-2L
18 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
2-1L
16 Aug2026
Trungelliti M.ATP #83 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
0-2W
06 Aug2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #70
0-2L
03 Jul2026
Struff J-l.ATP #44 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
3-0L
01 Jul2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
1-3W
29 Jun2026
Cilic M.ATP #81 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
0-3W
Tiafoe F. Form
Tiafoe F.
05 Sept2026
Vacherot V.ATP #23 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-3W
03 Sept2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #157 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-3W
01 Sept2026
Damm M.ATP #90 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-3W
23 Aug2026
Fils A.ATP #11 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-1L
23 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Musetti L.ATP #14 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
20 Aug2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Auger-aliassime F.ATP #4
2-0W
19 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #15 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
1-2W
17 Aug2026
Sonego L.ATP #89 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
07 Aug2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #29
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
07 Jan2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-0
21 Sept2024
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
1-2
18 Mar2023
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-0
30 Mar2021
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-0
08 Sept2020
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
0-3
21 Jan2020
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
3-1
02 Aug2019
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Medvedev D.ATP #8
0-2
16 May2015
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2

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