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Tennis · Hangzhou · China · hard

Medvedev D. vs Rublev A.

Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-0Rublev A.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Medvedev D. a 79% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 6 against No. 24, 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5 and a 8-2 head-to-head lead. Medvedev D. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Medvedev D. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Rublev A. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 13 Nov 2023, when Medvedev D. won 2-0.
China•ATP•Hangzhou•hard
Medvedev D.
Age 30 · Rank #6
VS
Age 28 · Rank #24
Rublev A.
Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 14:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-0Rublev A.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
6-4
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Rublev A.
79%
21%
Head-to-head
8/102/10
80
10 meetings · 5 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
79%
Rublev A.
21%
medium confidenceData 70%hard10 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansRublev A. ▶
Ranking
+0.58
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.12
H2H
+0.30
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
28 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Safiullin R.ATP #84
2-0W
27 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Wong C.ATP #100
2-1W
26 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Royer V.ATP #105
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #8
0-3L
04 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #33
3-0W
02 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Gorzny S.ATP #409
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Gaston H.ATP #87
3-0W
26 Aug2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Damm M.ATP #103
0-2L
18 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
2-1L
16 Aug2026
Trungelliti M.ATP #88 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
0-2W
Rublev A. Form
Rublev A.
28 Sept2026
Jacquet K.ATP #86 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
0-2W
27 Sept2026
Gaston H.ATP #87 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Hijikata R.ATP #82 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #42 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
3-1L
31 Aug2026
Virtanen O.ATP #106 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-3W
18 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Borges N.ATP #49
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #66
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Shang J.ATP #250 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-1L
24 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Van Assche L.ATP #43
1-2L
23 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Skatov T.ATP #204
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Nov2023
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-0
06 Sept2023
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
3-0
04 Mar2023
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-0
14 Nov2022
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
1-2
21 Aug2021
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
1-2
17 Feb2021
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
0-3
09 Sept2020
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
0-3
20 Sept2019
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Rublev A.ATP #24
2-0
17 Aug2019
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
0-2
27 Oct2016
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Medvedev D.ATP #6
0-2

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