Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard
Medvedev D. vs Paul T.
Friday, 16 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-1Paul T.
- Set 1
- 6-3
- Set 2
- 1-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Medvedev D. a 71% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 5 against No. 17, 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 7 and a 4-1 head-to-head lead. Medvedev D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Medvedev D. has won 3 matches in a row.
- Paul T. has won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 12 Mar 2025, when Medvedev D. won 2-0.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-1Paul T.
- Set 1
- 6-3
- Set 2
- 1-6
- Set 3
- 6-3
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Paul T.
71%
29%
Head-to-head
4/51/5
21
5 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
71%
Paul T.
29%
high confidenceData 95%hard3 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansPaul T. ▶
Ranking
+0.51
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.41
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
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