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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Medvedev D. vs Paul T.

Friday, 16 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-1Paul T.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
1-6
Set 3
6-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Medvedev D. a 71% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 5 against No. 17, 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 7 and a 4-1 head-to-head lead. Medvedev D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Medvedev D. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • Paul T. has won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 12 Mar 2025, when Medvedev D. won 2-0.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Medvedev D.
Age 30 · Rank #5
VS
Age 29 · Rank #17
Paul T.
Friday, 16 October 2026 at 13:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Medvedev D.2-1Paul T.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
1-6
Set 3
6-3
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Paul T.
71%
29%
Head-to-head
4/51/5
21
5 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
71%
Paul T.
29%
high confidenceData 95%hard3 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansPaul T. ▶
Ranking
+0.51
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.41
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
14 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #43
2-0W
12 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Svrcina D.ATP #126
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Struff J-l.ATP #59
2-1W
05 Oct2026
Djokovic N.ATP #11 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
1-0L
04 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #20
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Struff J-l.ATP #59
2-0W
02 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
2-0W
29 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Rublev A.ATP #23
2-0W
28 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Safiullin R.ATP #79
2-0W
27 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Wong C.ATP #101
2-1W
Paul T. Form
Paul T.
14 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Bergs Z.ATP #39
2-0W
12 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Vacherot V.ATP #14
2-0W
10 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Vallejo D.
2-0W
30 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #30 vs Paul T.ATP #17
2-0L
06 Sept2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-3L
04 Sept2026
Bublik A.ATP #22 vs Paul T.ATP #17
2-3W
03 Sept2026
Prizmic D.ATP #97 vs Paul T.ATP #17
1-3W
30 Aug2026
Wong C.ATP #101 vs Paul T.ATP #17
1-3W
20 Aug2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Cobolli F.ATP #7
1-2L
19 Aug2026
Zverev A.ATP #2 vs Paul T.ATP #17
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
12 Mar2025
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-2
14 May2024
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-0
17 Mar2024
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
1-2
29 Sept2023
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-2
02 Jun2021
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
1-3

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