Tennis · Finals Turin · World · hard
Medvedev D. vs Cobolli F.
Monday, 16 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Medvedev D. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Medvedev D. about 75% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- They last met on 28 Apr 2026, when Cobolli F. won 2-1.
World•ATP•Finals Turin•hard
Monday, 16 November 2026 at 22:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Medvedev D.Cobolli F.
69%
31%
Medvedev D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Cobolli F. · all surfaces (latest first)
D15d
W17d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L35d
L43d
L48d
L69d
W71d
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 8/9
D15d
W17d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L35d
L43d
L48d
L69d
W71d
Recent form
Medvedev D. · all surfacesCobolli F. · all surfaces
99
6/94/9
3/95/9
67%44%
4/91/9
3/91/9
6/98/9
2/97/9
12 / 813 / 14
+4-1
Limited sample — Medvedev D. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Cobolli F. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Medvedev D. · last 9 on hardCobolli F. · last 9 on hard
99
6/94/9
3/95/9
67%44%
4/91/9
3/91/9
6/98/9
2/97/9
12 / 813 / 14
+4-1
Head-to-head
2/31/3
20
3 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.3%
Medvedev D.
1.25▼
Implied 75%
Edge -6.2%
Cobolli F.
3.80▲
Implied 25%
Edge +6.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Medvedev D.
69%
Cobolli F.
31%
medium confidenceData 65%hard2 H2H used
◀ Medvedev D.Why the model leansCobolli F. ▶
Ranking
+0.08
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.07
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
Cobolli F. Form
Cobolli F.
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