Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
McDonald N. vs Matsuda K.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives McDonald N. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 472 against No. 484. Bookmakers give McDonald N. about 57% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 05:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
McDonald N.Matsuda K.
54%
46%
McDonald N. · all surfaces (latest first)
L14d
W15d
L29d
L42d
W43d
L69d
L76d
L87d
W89d
W91d
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 8/10
L14d
W15d
L29d
L42d
W43d
L252d
L269d
W270d
W272d
L278d
Matsuda K. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
W1d
L8d
L13d
L14d
W15d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L34d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10
W0d
W1d
L8d
L13d
L14d
W15d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L34d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
Recent form
McDonald N. · all surfacesMatsuda K. · all surfaces
1010
4/105/10
6/105/10
40%50%
2/103/10
4/104/10
6/106/10
4/103/10
10 / 1411 / 12
-4-1
On hard (this match's surface)
McDonald N. · last 10 on hardMatsuda K. · last 10 on hard
1010
4/105/10
6/105/10
40%50%
2/103/10
2/104/10
8/106/10
6/103/10
12 / 1411 / 12
-2-1
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 10.1%
McDonald N.
1.60
Implied 57%
Edge -2.8%
Matsuda K.
2.10
Implied 43%
Edge +2.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
McDonald N.
54%
Matsuda K.
46%
high confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ McDonald N.Why the model leansMatsuda K. ▶
Ranking
+0.01
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
McDonald N. Form
Mcdonald N.
Matsuda K. Form
Matsuda K.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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