Tennis · Champaign · USA · hard
Maxted L. vs Hands T.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Hands T. a 68% chance on hard courts. Bookmakers give Hands T. about 89% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Hands T. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Maxted L.: 7 wins from the last 9 matches, against 2 for Hands T.
- Maxted L. has won 7 of the last 9 matches on hard courts.
- Hands T. has won just 2 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
USA•Challenger•Champaign•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Maxted L.Hands T.
32%
68%
Maxted L. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W14d
W15d
W17d
W19d
L25d
On hard7–2 · 78%· won 1+ set 7/9
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W14d
W15d
W17d
W19d
L25d
Hands T. · all surfaces (latest first)
L203d
L292d
L371d
L495d
W496d
W496d
L539d
L642d
L696d
W698d
4 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 3 at other events (Abidjan 2, M25 Glasgow)
On hard2–8 · 20%· won 1+ set 4/10
L203d
L292d
L371d
L539d
L642d
L696d
W698d
L725d
L744d
W745d
6 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 5 at other events (Abidjan 2, M25 Glasgow)
Recent form
Maxted L. · all surfacesHands T. · all surfaces
910
7/93/10
2/97/10
78%30%
3/93/10
2/95/10
7/95/10
4/92/10
14 / 88 / 14
+6-6
Limited sample — Maxted L. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Maxted L. · last 9 on hardHands T. · last 10 on hard
910
7/92/10
2/98/10
78%20%
3/92/10
2/96/10
7/94/10
4/92/10
14 / 86 / 16
+6-10
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 0.0%
Maxted L.
15.50
Implied 11%
Edge +20.6%
Hands T.
2.00
Implied 89%
Edge -20.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Maxted L.
32%
Hands T.
68%
low confidenceData 20%hard0 H2H used
◀ Maxted L.Why the model leansHands T. ▶
Ranking
+0.13
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.31
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Maxted L. Form
Maxted L.
Hands T. Form
Hands T.
08 Jul2025
Edmund K. vs Hands T.
2-0L
07 Jul2025
Hands T. vs Weir P.
2-0W
19 Dec2024
Danilov S. vs Hands T.
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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