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Tennis · Jinan · China · hard

Matsuoka H. vs Sun Qian

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Matsuoka H.2-1Sun Qian
Set 1
6-2
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Matsuoka H. a 66% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 247 against No. 896 and a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Matsuoka H. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 3 May 2026, when Matsuoka H. won 2-1.
China•Challenger•Jinan•hard
Matsuoka H.
Age 21 · Rank #247
VS
Age 25 · Rank #896
Sun Qian
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 07:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Matsuoka H.2-1Sun Qian
Set 1
6-2
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Matsuoka H.Sun Qian
66%
34%
Head-to-head
2/20/2
10
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Matsuoka H.
66%
Sun Qian
34%
medium confidenceData 70%hard2 H2H used
◀ Matsuoka H.Why the model leansSun Qian ▶
Ranking
+0.54
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Matsuoka H. Form
Matsuoka H.
23 Sept2026
Daniel T.ATP #177 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
2-0L
22 Sept2026
Weber A.ATP #409 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2W
15 Sept2026
Matsuoka H.ATP #247 vs Harris L.ATP #110
1-2L
07 Sept2026
Matsuoka H.ATP #247 vs Delaney Ja.
1-2L
01 Sept2026
Aguiard E.ATP #439 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
2-0L
16 Aug2026
Dougaz A.ATP #430 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
1-2W
15 Aug2026
Matsuoka H.ATP #247 vs Sultanov K.ATP #444
2-1W
14 Aug2026
Sun F.ATP #303 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2W
12 Aug2026
Kumasaka T.ATP #615 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2W
10 Aug2026
Matsuda K.ATP #481 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2W
Sun Qian Form
Sun Qian
07 Oct2026
Ehrenschneider N.ATP #568 vs Sun QianATP #896
2-1L
17 Sept2026
Kachmazov A.ATP #525 vs Sun QianATP #896
2-0L
16 Sept2026
Vickery L.ATP #2250 vs Sun QianATP #896
1-2W
06 Sept2026
Sun QianATP #896 vs Tomida Y.ATP #814
0-2L
05 Sept2026
Sinclair C.ATP #485 vs Sun QianATP #896
1-2W
04 Sept2026
Jones M.ATP #839 vs Sun QianATP #896
1-2W
03 Sept2026
Koyama H.ATP #875 vs Sun QianATP #896
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Alhogbani A. F.ATP #1102 vs Sun QianATP #896
1-2W
27 Aug2026
Jiang F.ATP #1576 vs Sun QianATP #896
2-1L
26 Aug2026
Sun QianATP #896 vs Bar Biryukov P.ATP #278
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
03 May2026
Matsuoka H.ATP #247 vs Sun QianATP #896
2-1
30 Oct2025
Sun QianATP #896 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #247
0-2

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