Tennis · Kobe · Japan · hard
Matsuda R. vs Sun F.
Monday, 16 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Sun F. a 64% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 297 against No. 661. Bookmakers give Sun F. about 71% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- They last met on 15 Oct 2024, when Sun F. won 2-0.
Japan•Challenger•Kobe•hard
Monday, 16 November 2026 at 06:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Matsuda R.Sun F.
36%
64%
Matsuda R. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
W6d
W7d
L21d
L23d
W24d
W25d
L33d
L41d
W42d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10
L5d
W6d
W7d
L21d
L23d
W24d
W25d
L33d
L41d
W42d
Sun F. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
W5d
L17d
W19d
L24d
W26d
L33d
L37d
W38d
W40d
On hard3–5 · 38%· won 1+ set 5/8
L4d
W5d
L17d
W19d
L24d
W26d
L33d
L37d
W38d
W40d
Recent form
Matsuda R. · all surfacesSun F. · all surfaces
108
5/103/8
5/105/8
50%38%
5/101/8
4/103/8
6/105/8
1/104/8
11 / 108 / 12
+1-4
Limited sample — Sun F. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Matsuda R. · last 10 on hardSun F. · last 8 on hard
108
5/103/8
5/105/8
50%38%
5/101/8
4/103/8
6/105/8
1/104/8
11 / 108 / 12
+1-4
Head-to-head
0/11/1
01
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 9.4%
Matsuda R.
3.20
Implied 29%
Edge +7.4%
Sun F.
1.28▼
Implied 71%
Edge -7.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Matsuda R.
36%
Sun F.
64%
low confidenceData 55%hard1 H2H used
◀ Matsuda R.Why the model leansSun F. ▶
Ranking
-0.34
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.21
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Matsuda R. Form
Matsuda R.
Sun F. Form
Sun F.
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