Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Matsuda R. vs Schoenhaus M.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Schoenhaus M. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 306 against No. 661. Bookmakers give Schoenhaus M. about 80% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Schoenhaus M. has lost 3 matches in a row.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 07:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Matsuda R.Schoenhaus M.
31%
69%
Matsuda R. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
L16d
L18d
W19d
W20d
L28d
L36d
W37d
L38d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10
W1d
W2d
L16d
L18d
W19d
W20d
L28d
L36d
W37d
L38d
2-match win streak · all at Matsuyama — built in this tournament
Schoenhaus M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L21d
L28d
L55d
W57d
W58d
L67d
W69d
W71d
L76d
W78d
3 straight losses · carried over from Brussels, Roanne — first match of this tournament
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10
L21d
L28d
L55d
W57d
W58d
L272d
L276d
W277d
W278d
W280d
3 straight losses · carried over from Brussels, Roanne — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Matsuda R. · all surfacesSchoenhaus M. · all surfaces
1010
5/105/10
5/105/10
50%50%
5/103/10
3/102/10
7/108/10
2/105/10
12 / 1013 / 12
+2+1
On hard (this match's surface)
Matsuda R. · last 10 on hardSchoenhaus M. · last 10 on hard
1010
5/105/10
5/105/10
50%50%
5/102/10
3/104/10
7/106/10
2/104/10
12 / 1011 / 13
+2-2
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Matsuda R.
4.70▲
Implied 20%
Edge +11.5%
Schoenhaus M.
1.14▼
Implied 80%
Edge -11.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Matsuda R.
31%
Schoenhaus M.
69%
low confidenceData 31%hard0 H2H used
◀ Matsuda R.Why the model leansSchoenhaus M. ▶
Ranking
-0.32
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Matsuda R. Form
Matsuda R.
Schoenhaus M. Form
Schoenhaus M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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