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Tennis · Kobe · Japan · hard

Matsuda K. vs Watanabe K.

Monday, 16 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Matsuda K. a 71% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 484 against No. 2005. Bookmakers give Matsuda K. about 76% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Japan•Challenger•Kobe•hard
Matsuda K.
Matsuda K.
Age 26 · Rank #484
VS
Watanabe K.
Rank #2005
Watanabe K.
Monday, 16 November 2026 at 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Matsuda K.Watanabe K.
71%
29%
Matsuda K. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
L5d
W6d
W7d
L14d
L19d
L20d
W21d
L26d
W27d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10
W0d
L5d
W6d
W7d
L14d
L19d
L20d
W21d
L26d
W27d
Watanabe K. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
L18d
L24d
W26d
L68d
W69d
L133d
L167d
W168d
L294d
On hard3–3 · 50%· won 1+ set 4/6
W0d
L18d
L24d
W26d
L68d
W69d
L294d
Recent form
Matsuda K. · all surfacesWatanabe K. · all surfaces
109
5/104/9
5/105/9
50%44%
3/103/9
4/104/9
6/105/9
3/102/9
11 / 129 / 11
-1-2
Limited sample — Watanabe K. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Matsuda K. · last 10 on hardWatanabe K. · last 6 on hard
106
5/103/6
5/103/6
50%50%
3/103/6
4/102/6
6/104/6
3/101/6
11 / 127 / 6
-1+1
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Matsuda K.
1.20▲
Implied 76%
Edge -5.5%
Watanabe K.
3.90▼
Implied 24%
Edge +5.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Matsuda K.
71%
Watanabe K.
29%
low confidenceData 59%hard0 H2H used
◀ Matsuda K.Why the model leansWatanabe K. ▶
Ranking
+0.60
Surface
-0.05
Form
-0.16
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Matsuda K. Form
Matsuda K.
15 Nov2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Imai S.ATP #929
2-1W
10 Nov2026
Mcdonald N.ATP #472 vs Matsuda K.ATP #484
2-0L
09 Nov2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Dev s d P.ATP #693
2-0W
08 Nov2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Mochizuki Y.ATP #880
2-1W
01 Nov2026
Samrej K.ATP #375 vs Matsuda K.ATP #484
2-0L
27 Oct2026
Atmane T.ATP #75 vs Matsuda K.ATP #484
2-1L
26 Oct2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Zhukayev B.ATP #520
0-2L
25 Oct2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Kim G. J.ATP #911
2-0W
20 Oct2026
Matsuda K.ATP #484 vs Zhou Y.ATP #279
0-2L
19 Oct2026
Jasika O.ATP #301 vs Matsuda K.ATP #484
0-2W
Watanabe K. Form
Watanabe K.
15 Nov2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Dev s d P.ATP #693
2-0W
28 Oct2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Hashimoto H.ATP #1008
0-1L
22 Oct2026
Hou C.ATP #1021 vs Watanabe K.ATP #2005
2-1L
20 Oct2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Kurabayashi D.
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Mackenzie J.ATP #632
0-2L
07 Sept2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Gaines jr J.ATP #1352
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Rybkin S.ATP #1575 vs Watanabe K.ATP #2005
2-0L
01 Jun2026
Antonius M.ATP #581 vs Watanabe K.ATP #2005
2-0L
31 May2026
Lawlor R.ATP #1680 vs Watanabe K.ATP #2005
1-2W
25 Jan2026
Watanabe K.ATP #2005 vs Miguel L. A.ATP #547
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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