Tennis · Orleans · France · hard
Martineau M. vs Gaston H.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Gaston H. a 55% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 109 against No. 203. Bookmakers give Gaston H. about 63% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Martineau M. has won 5 matches in a row.
- Martineau M. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 1 Sept 2019, when Martineau M. won 2-1.
France•Challenger•Orleans•hard
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Martineau M.Gaston H.
45%
55%
Martineau M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L15d
L20d
L23d
W24d
W25d
5-match win streak · carried over from Taranto — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Taranto with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L15d
L20d
L23d
W24d
W25d
5-match win streak · carried over from Taranto — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Taranto with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Gaston H. · all surfaces (latest first)
L10d
L12d
W13d
L21d
L25d
W27d
W29d
L36d
L44d
W46d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Brest — first match of this tournament
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 5/9
L10d
L12d
W13d
L21d
L25d
W27d
W29d
L36d
L44d
W46d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Brest — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Martineau M. · all surfacesGaston H. · all surfaces
109
7/104/9
3/105/9
70%44%
5/101/9
1/104/9
9/105/9
4/104/9
16 / 89 / 13
+8-4
Limited sample — Gaston H. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Martineau M. · last 10 on hardGaston H. · last 9 on hard
109
7/104/9
3/105/9
70%44%
5/101/9
1/104/9
9/105/9
4/104/9
16 / 89 / 13
+8-4
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.0%
Martineau M.
2.50▲
Implied 37%
Edge +8.0%
Gaston H.
1.47▼
Implied 63%
Edge -8.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Martineau M.
45%
Gaston H.
55%
low confidenceData 51%hard1 H2H used
◀ Martineau M.Why the model leansGaston H. ▶
Ranking
-0.26
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.44
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Martineau M. Form
Martineau M.
Gaston H. Form
Gaston H.
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