Tennis · Drummondville · Canada · hard
Marterer M. vs Jones B.
Monday, 16 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Marterer M. a 73% chance on hard courts. That rests on 8 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Jones B. is the higher-ranked player (No. 834 against No. 1132), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Marterer M. about 84% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Marterer M. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Marterer M.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Jones B.
Canada•Challenger•Drummondville•hard
Monday, 16 November 2026 at 02:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Marterer M.Jones B.
73%
27%
Marterer M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
W3d
W5d
L18d
W19d
L22d
W23d
W24d
W26d
4-match win streak · carried over from M25 Montreal — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at M25 Montreal with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 8/10
W1d
W2d
W3d
W5d
L18d
W19d
L22d
W23d
W24d
W26d
4-match win streak · carried over from M25 Montreal — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at M25 Montreal with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Jones B. · all surfaces (latest first)
L118d
L160d
W160d
L167d
W168d
L203d
L217d
L224d
L238d
L245d
2 straight losses · carried over from Winnipeg, Ilkley — first match of this tournament
On hard3–5 · 38%· won 1+ set 7/8
L118d
L203d
L217d
L224d
L251d
D252d
L270d
W271d
W272d
W273d
5 straight losses · carried over from Winnipeg, Jiujiang — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Marterer M. · all surfacesJones B. · all surfaces
1010
8/102/10
2/108/10
80%20%
8/102/10
2/104/10
8/106/10
0/104/10
16 / 48 / 16
+12-8
On hard (this match's surface)
Marterer M. · last 10 on hardJones B. · last 8 on hard
108
8/103/8
2/105/8
80%38%
8/103/8
2/101/8
8/107/8
0/104/8
16 / 410 / 10
+12+0
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.6%
Marterer M.
1.09
Implied 84%
Edge -10.7%
Jones B.
5.60
Implied 16%
Edge +10.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Marterer M.
73%
Jones B.
27%
low confidenceData 24%hard0 H2H used
◀ Marterer M.Why the model leansJones B. ▶
Ranking
-0.13
Surface
-0.21
Form
+0.21
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Marterer M. Form
Marterer M.
Jones B. Form
Jones B.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.