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Tennis · Porto · Portugal · hard

Marrero Curbelo I. vs Potenza L.

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Marrero Curbelo I.1-2Potenza L.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Potenza L. a 56% chance on hard courts. Marrero Curbelo I. is the higher-ranked player (No. 339 against No. 538), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Potenza L. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Marrero Curbelo I. has lost 3 matches in a row.
  • Potenza L. has lost 3 matches in a row.
Portugal•Challenger•Porto•hard
Marrero Curbelo I.
Age 28 · Rank #339
VS
Age 26 · Rank #538
Potenza L.
Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 19:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Marrero Curbelo I.1-2Potenza L.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
3-6
Model win probability
Marrero Curbelo I.Potenza L.
44%
56%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Marrero Curbelo I.
44%
Potenza L.
56%
low confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Marrero Curbelo I.Why the model leansPotenza L. ▶
Ranking
+0.19
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.39
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Marrero Curbelo I. Form
Marrero Curbelo I.
07 Sept2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #235
1-2L
31 Aug2026
Paldanius O.ATP #782 vs Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339
1-0L
27 Aug2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Andrade A.ATP #206
0-2L
26 Aug2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Bicknell B.ATP #399
2-1W
17 Aug2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Andrade da Silva L.ATP #767
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Seidman L.ATP #1348
2-1W
07 Aug2026
Erhard M.ATP #360 vs Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339
2-0L
06 Aug2026
Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339 vs Kasnikowski M.ATP #235
2-1W
04 Aug2026
Peliwo F.ATP #653 vs Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339
1-2W
23 Jul2026
Moro Canas A.ATP #228 vs Marrero Curbelo I.ATP #339
2-0L
Potenza L. Form
Potenza L.
20 Sept2026
Echargui M.ATP #378 vs Potenza L.ATP #538
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Potenza L.ATP #538 vs Bass F.ATP #1154
1-2L
05 Sept2026
Potenza L.ATP #538 vs Montes-de la Torre I.ATP #226
1-2L
04 Sept2026
Butvilas E.ATP #198 vs Potenza L.ATP #538
1-2W
03 Sept2026
Potenza L.ATP #538 vs Schwaerzler J. J.ATP #185
2-0W
02 Sept2026
Potenza L.ATP #538 vs Jorda Sanchis D.ATP #216
2-1W
01 Sept2026
Overbeck C. E.ATP #290 vs Potenza L.ATP #538
0-2W
31 Aug2026
Potenza L.ATP #538 vs Masur D.ATP #406
2-0W
25 Aug2026
Deckers A.ATP #554 vs Potenza L.ATP #538
2-0L
05 Aug2026
Shah A.ATP #965 vs Potenza L.ATP #538
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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