Tennis · Porto · Portugal · hard
Marques G. vs Nesterov P.
Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Marques G.2-1Nesterov P.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 1-6
- Set 3
- 6-4
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Marques G. a 52% chance on hard courts. Nesterov P. is the higher-ranked player (No. 301 against No. 652), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Marques G. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Marques G. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Nesterov P. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Portugal•Challenger•Porto•hard
Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 13:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Marques G.2-1Nesterov P.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 1-6
- Set 3
- 6-4
Model win probability
Marques G.Nesterov P.
52%
48%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Marques G.
52%
Nesterov P.
48%
low confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Marques G.Why the model leansNesterov P. ▶
Ranking
-0.18
Surface
-0.00
Form
+0.19
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Marques G. Form
Marques G.
Nesterov P. Form
Nesterov P.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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