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Tennis · Guadalajara · Mexico · hard

Maria T. vs Townsend T.

Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maria T.1-2Townsend T.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Townsend T. a 67% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Maria T. is the higher-ranked player (No. 80 against No. 98), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Townsend T. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 22 Jul 2025, when Townsend T. won 2-0.
Mexico•WTA•Guadalajara•hard
Maria T.
Age 39 · Rank #80
VS
Age 30 · Rank #98
Townsend T.
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 00:05
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maria T.1-2Townsend T.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6
Model win probability
Maria T.Townsend T.
33%
67%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
01
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Maria T.
33%
Townsend T.
67%
high confidenceData 100%hard1 H2H used
◀ Maria T.Why the model leansTownsend T. ▶
Ranking
+0.09
Surface
-0.30
Form
-0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Maria T. Form
Maria T.
03 Sept2026
Bartunkova N.WTA #34 vs Maria T.WTA #80
2-1L
03 Sept2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
2-1W
15 Aug2026
Shnaider D.WTA #13 vs Maria T.WTA #80
2-0L
13 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Yastremska D.WTA #110
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Mcnally C.WTA #66
1-2L
01 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Marton I.WTA #884
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Maria T.WTA #80 vs Zarazua R.WTA #91
0-2L
28 Jul2026
Gibson T.WTA #62 vs Maria T.WTA #80
0-2W
12 Jul2026
Volynets K.WTA #77 vs Maria T.WTA #80
0-2W
11 Jul2026
Sawangkaew M.WTA #88 vs Maria T.WTA #80
0-2W
Townsend T. Form
Townsend T.
06 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Townsend T.WTA #98
2-0L
04 Sept2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Shnaider D.WTA #13
2-1W
02 Sept2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Preston T.WTA #92
2-0W
31 Aug2026
Chwalinska M.WTA #26 vs Townsend T.WTA #98
0-2W
16 Aug2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Rybakina E.WTA #1
0-2L
13 Aug2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Osorio C.WTA #63
2-1W
08 Aug2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Bencic B.WTA #12
1-2L
05 Aug2026
Bouzkova M.WTA #27 vs Townsend T.WTA #98
0-2W
04 Aug2026
Valentova T.WTA #59 vs Townsend T.WTA #98
0-2W
30 Jun2026
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Swiatek I.WTA #9
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
22 Jul2025
Townsend T.WTA #98 vs Maria T.WTA #80
2-0

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