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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Maria T. vs Ostapenko J.

Thursday, 03 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maria T.2-1Ostapenko J.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-1
Set 3
6-2

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Ostapenko J. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 32 against No. 83. Maria T. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 72% for Ostapenko J.

Key facts before the match

  • Maria T. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Ostapenko J. has lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 26 Jun 2026, when Maria T. won 1-0.
USA•WTA•Us Open•hard
Maria T.
Age 39 · Rank #83
VS
Age 29 · Rank #32
Ostapenko J.
Thursday, 03 September 2026 at 00:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maria T.2-1Ostapenko J.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-1
Set 3
6-2
Model win probability
Maria T.Ostapenko J.
28%
72%
Head-to-head
2/20/2
10
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Maria T.
28%
Ostapenko J.
72%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Maria T.Why the model leansOstapenko J. ▶
Ranking
-0.40
Surface
-0.36
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Maria T. Form
Maria T.
15 Aug2026
Shnaider D.WTA #16 vs Maria T.WTA #83
2-0L
13 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Yastremska D.WTA #113
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Mcnally C.WTA #65
1-2L
01 Aug2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Marton I.WTA #895
2-0W
30 Jul2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Zarazua R.WTA #74
0-2L
28 Jul2026
Gibson T.WTA #63 vs Maria T.WTA #83
0-2W
12 Jul2026
Volynets K.WTA #78 vs Maria T.WTA #83
0-2W
11 Jul2026
Sawangkaew M.WTA #94 vs Maria T.WTA #83
0-2W
10 Jul2026
Stefanini L.WTA #119 vs Maria T.WTA #83
0-2W
09 Jul2026
Sebov K.WTA #214 vs Maria T.WTA #83
0-2W
Ostapenko J. Form
Ostapenko J.
15 Aug2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Frech M.WTA #41
0-2L
04 Aug2026
Zhang S.WTA #54 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-0L
03 Jul2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
2-0L
01 Jul2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Ruzic A.WTA #85
2-0W
29 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Dart H.WTA #131
2-1W
26 Jun2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-0L
25 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Sonmez Z.WTA #53
2-0W
24 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Udvardy P.WTA #68
2-1W
22 Jun2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Jones F.WTA #104
2-0W
27 May2026
Ostapenko J.WTA #32 vs Linette M.WTA #82
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
26 Jun2026
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
1-0
03 Jul2022
Maria T.WTA #83 vs Ostapenko J.WTA #32
2-1

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