Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard
Maria T. vs Ostapenko J.
Thursday, 03 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Maria T.2-1Ostapenko J.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 6-1
- Set 3
- 6-2
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Ostapenko J. a 72% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 32 against No. 83. Maria T. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 72% for Ostapenko J.
Key facts before the match
- Maria T. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Ostapenko J. has lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 26 Jun 2026, when Maria T. won 1-0.
USA•WTA•Us Open•hard
Thursday, 03 September 2026 at 00:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Maria T.2-1Ostapenko J.
- Set 1
- 4-6
- Set 2
- 6-1
- Set 3
- 6-2
Model win probability
Maria T.Ostapenko J.
28%
72%
Head-to-head
2/20/2
10
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Maria T.
28%
Ostapenko J.
72%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Maria T.Why the model leansOstapenko J. ▶
Ranking
-0.40
Surface
-0.36
Form
-0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Maria T. Form
Maria T.
Ostapenko J. Form
Ostapenko J.
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