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Tennis · Chengdu · China · hard

Mannarino A. vs Shapovalov D.

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mannarino A.1-2Shapovalov D.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Shapovalov D. a 68% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 50 against No. 78, 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4 and a 3-1 head-to-head lead. Shapovalov D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 13 Aug 2026, when Shapovalov D. won 2-0.
China•ATP•Chengdu•hard
Mannarino A.
Age 38 · Rank #78
VS
Age 27 · Rank #50
Shapovalov D.
Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 11:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mannarino A.1-2Shapovalov D.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
2-6
Model win probability
Mannarino A.Shapovalov D.
32%
68%
Head-to-head
1/43/4
02
4 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Mannarino A.
32%
Shapovalov D.
68%
medium confidenceData 66%hard4 H2H used
◀ Mannarino A.Why the model leansShapovalov D. ▶
Ranking
-0.19
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.38
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Mannarino A. Form
Mannarino A.
25 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #32 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Shang J.ATP #253 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
0-2W
17 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Bobichon M.ATP #566
0-2L
15 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Added D.ATP #374
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Bublik A.ATP #21 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
3-0L
31 Aug2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #52 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-3W
26 Aug2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Sonego L.ATP #86
0-2L
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
04 Aug2026
Fearnley J.ATP #94 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
30 Jul2026
Michelsen A.ATP #34 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
Shapovalov D. Form
Shapovalov D.
25 Sept2026
Kopriva V.ATP #71 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #55 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
0-2W
05 Sept2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Van Assche L.ATP #42
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Kecmanovic M.ATP #60 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
1-3W
16 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #14 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
2-1L
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Svajda Z.ATP #81 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
1-1D
02 Aug2026
Gea A.ATP #61 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
2-0L
01 Aug2026
Norrie C.ATP #39 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0
31 Jul2024
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #50
0-2
26 Oct2017
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
1-2
12 Aug2017
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-1

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