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Tennis · Almaty · Kazakhstan · hard

Mannarino A. vs Rublev A.

Wednesday, 21 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mannarino A.2-1Rublev A.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-3

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Rublev A. a 71% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 22 against No. 79 and a 5-1 head-to-head lead. Mannarino A. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 71% for Rublev A.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 6 Dec 2025, when Rublev A. won 3-2.
Kazakhstan•ATP•Almaty•hard
Mannarino A.
Age 38 · Rank #79
VS
Age 29 · Rank #22
Rublev A.
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 13:05
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Mannarino A.2-1Rublev A.
Set 1
6-4
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-3
Model win probability
Mannarino A.Rublev A.
29%
71%
Head-to-head
1/65/6
04
6 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Mannarino A.
29%
Rublev A.
71%
high confidenceData 95%hard4 H2H used
◀ Mannarino A.Why the model leansRublev A. ▶
Ranking
-0.54
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.07
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Mannarino A. Form
Mannarino A.
19 Oct2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Vukic A.ATP #116
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Khachanov K.ATP #25 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
2-0L
09 Oct2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Cobolli F.ATP #6
2-1W
07 Oct2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Basilashvili N.ATP #128
1-0W
29 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #74
0-2L
28 Sept2026
Kecmanovic M.ATP #57 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
1-2W
27 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #47
1-2L
25 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #31 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Shang J.ATP #248 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
0-2W
17 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Bobichon M.ATP #515
0-2L
Rublev A. Form
Rublev A.
09 Oct2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #124 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
2-0L
04 Oct2026
de Minaur A.ATP #8 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
2-1L
03 Oct2026
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Safiullin R.ATP #70
2-1W
01 Oct2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #60 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
2-0L
28 Sept2026
Jacquet K.ATP #85 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
0-2W
27 Sept2026
Gaston H.ATP #93 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Hijikata R.ATP #86 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #42 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
3-1L
31 Aug2026
Virtanen O.ATP #121 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
2-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
06 Dec2025
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
3-2
04 Jul2025
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
3-0
09 Oct2023
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
0-2
07 Oct2022
Mannarino A.ATP #79 vs Rublev A.ATP #22
0-2
21 Oct2021
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
1-2
20 Oct2019
Rublev A.ATP #22 vs Mannarino A.ATP #79
2-0

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